2012 BOWL PICKS

Here we go! It’s the worst lineup of Bowl Games ever, so why not spend the entire week trying to predict the score of each and every one of them? I came up with a new predictive formula this year:

I set each team’s offensive and defensive schedule strength equal to one another by aggregating opponents in terms of scoring on both sides of the ball and used an adjustment coefficient when such aggregation wasn’t possible based upon their body of work, recalculated their offensive and defensive points per game averages after doing so, balanced said averages versus each matchup, and voila! You have the answer key.

Confidence picks listed after the score predictions. You can kind of think of it like that almanac in Back To The Future Part II, except this is in real time. (Central Time, all Bowl Games referred to by their proper names, Vegas spreads to the far right).

NEW MEXICO BOWL (Dec 15, 12:00): Arizona 45, Nevada 42 (-9.5)

IDAHO POTATO BOWL (Dec 15, 3:30): Utah State 30, Toledo 23 (-10.5)

POINSETTIA BOWL (Dec 20, 7:00): BYU 23, San Diego State 21 (-2.5)

BEEF O’BRADY BOWL (Dec 21, 6:30): UCF 38, Ball State 27 (-7)

NEW ORLEANS BOWL (Dec 22, 11:00): Louisiana Lafayette 38, East Carolina 28 (-6)

LAS VEGAS BOWL (Dec 22, 2:30): Washington 23, Boise State 22 (+5)

HAWAII BOWL (Dec 24, 7:00): Fresno State 42, SMU 17 (-12)

LITTLE CAESARS BOWL (Dec 26, 6:30): Western Kentucky 33, Central Michigan 26 (-5.5)

MILITARY BOWL (Dec 27, 2:00): San Jose State 27, Bowling Green 14 (-7)

BELK BOWL (Dec 27, 6:30): Cincinnati 37, Duke 21 (-7)

HOLIDAY BOWL (Dec 27, 8:45): UCLA 44, Baylor 37 (PK)

INDEPENDENCE BOWL (Dec 28, 1:00): Louisiana-Monroe 32, Ohio 28 (-7)

RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL (Dec 28, 4:30): Virginia Tech 20, Rutgers 17 (-2.5)

TEXAS BOWL (Dec 28, 8:00): Texas Tech 37, Minnesota 27 (-12.5)

ARMED FORCES BOWL (Dec 29, 10:45): Air Force 29, Rice 28 (-1)

NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL (Dec 29, 2:15): Syracuse 35, West Virginia 34 (+4)

KRAFT FIGHT HUNGER BOWL (Dec 29, 3:00): Arizona State 28, Navy 20 (-14)

ALAMO BOWL (Dec 29, 5:45): Oregon State 30, Texas 23 (-2)

BW3 BOWL (Dec 29, 9:15): Michigan State 21, TCU 20 (+2.5)

MUSIC CITY BOWL (Dec 31, 11:00): Vanderbilt 27, NC State 17 (-7)

SUN BOWL (Dec 31, 1:00): USC 37, Georgia Tech 30 (-10)

LIBERTY BOWL (Dec 31, 2:30): Tulsa 27, Iowa State 23 (PK)

PEACH BOWL (Dec 31, 6:30): LSU 29, Clemson 23 (-4)

DALLAS BOWL (Jan 1, 11:00): Oklahoma State 47, Purdue 30 (-17)

GATOR BOWL (Jan 1, 11:00): Northwestern 28, Miss State 24 (+2)

CAPITAL ONE BOWL (Jan 1, 12:00): Georgia 37, Nebraska 27 (-10)

OUTBACK BOWL (Jan 1, 12:00): South Carolina 24, Michigan 17 (-5)

ROSE BOWL (Jan 1, 4:00): Stanford 20, Wisconsin 17 (-6.5)

ORANGE BOWL (Jan 1, 7:30): Florida State 34, Northern Illinois 27 (-13.5)

SUGAR BOWL (Jan 2, 7:30): Florida 27, Louisville 17 (-13.5)

FIESTA BOWL (Jan 3, 7:30): Oregon 35, Kansas State 21 (-9)

COTTON BOWL (Jan 4, 7:00): Texas A&M 42, Oklahoma 35 (-4.5)

COMPASS (Jan 5, 12:00): Pittsburgh 28, Ole Miss 27 (+3.5)

GODADDY.COM BOWL (Jan 6, 8:00): Arkansas State 34, Kent State 33

CHAMPIONSHIP (Jan 7, 7:30): Alabama 20, Notre Dame 13 (-9.5)

CONFIDENCE:

35 Fresno State (-25)

34 Oklahoma State (-17)

33 Cincinnati (-16)

32 Oregon (-14)

31 San Jose State (-13)

30 Florida (-10)

29 Texas Tech (-10)

28 Georgia (-10)

27 Central Florida (-10)

26 Vanderbilt (-10)

25 Louisiana Lafayette (-10)

24 Arizona State (-8)

23 Florida State (-7)

22 USC (-7)

21 Alabama (-7)

20 South Carolina (-7)

19 Utah State (-7)

18 Texas A&M (-7)

17 Oregon State (-7)

16 UCLA (-7)

15 Western Kentucky (-7)

14 LSU (-6)

13 Northwestern (-4)

12 Louisiana Monroe (-4)

11 Tulsa (-4)

10 Arizona (-3)

9 Stanford (-3)

8 Virginia Tech (-3)

7 BYU (-2)

6 Washington (-1)

5 Michigan State (-1)

4 Syracuse (-1)

3 Pittsburgh (-1)

2 Arkansas State (-1)

1 Air Force (-1)

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