Bracketology 3/11
In the past 24 hours, San Diego and Middle Tennessee State helped create additional bubble trouble by knocking off at-large candidates Gonzaga and South Alabama respectively. Gonzaga is almost certainly in the field, but South Alabama now joins a bubble discussion that is already overflowing.
It appears that the first round action in the Pac-10 tourney is going to turn out to be quite the battleground, as virtually inseparable Arizona State, Arizona and Oregon will try to outdo one another for what appears to be a maximum of two spots. Meanwhile, once safely in New Mexico appears to need at least one and maybe two wins this week, and Ohio State probably needs to beat Michigan State again to feel completely safe. Syracuse meets Villanova tomorrow for what is certain to be an elimination game and either team will need to win another one the next day, while Ole Miss, Virginia Tech, UAB, Maryland, Florida, St. Joseph’s and Dayton probably need to reach the final of their respective conference championships to get back into the picture. VCU and South Alabama must sit and wait now, although I feel that the latter has a far superior resume and can’t see both of these teams getting in after making early exits before their conference finals.
Here’s how I think the picture looks heading into tomorrow’s action (last 4 in bold):
1 North Carolina UCLA Memphis Tennessee
2 Kansas Texas Duke Xavier
3 Georgetown Wisconsin Louisville Stanford
4 Notre Dame Connecticut Drake Indiana
5 Vanderbilt Michigan State Butler Purdue
6 Washington State Pittsburgh Marquette USC
7 Clemson Mississippi State BYU Gonzaga
8 Oklahoma Baylor Kansas State Miami, Fl
9 West Virginia St. Mary’s Kent State Davidson
10 Texas A & M UNLV Kentucky Arkansas
11 UMass Illinois State Arizona State Western Kentucky
12 Arizona South Alabama New Mexico Ohio State
13 Cornell Oral Roberts George Mason Stephen F Austin/ Southland
14 Robert Morris/ NE Boise State/ WAC UCSB/ Big West San Diego
15 Winthrop Austin Peay Portland St./ Big Sky Belmont
16 UMBC/ America East Morgan State/ MEAC Siena/ MAAC Alabama St/ American
LAST 4 IN
ARIZONA
SOUTH ALABAMA
NEW MEXICO
OHIO STATE
LAST 4 OUT
SYRACUSE
OREGON
OLE MISS
VIRGINIA TECH
NEXT 4 OUT
UAB
MARYLAND
ST. JOSEPH’S
FLORIDA